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There
has been lot of news, comments and alarm due to tension in relations between
China and India over the unresolved boundary question. Some of the reports
in the media have not been based on truth. The statements of retiring/working
service chiefs have created alarm in people's mind. On September 18, P.M.
said that media reports were painting an inaccurate picture of conditions
on Indo-China border. Next day Union Home Ministry decided to file F.I.R.
against two Times of India reporters who filed a false story claiming
Indian soldiers had been injured in firing by the Chinese. Some have called
government action as violation of right of free speech and expression.
This raises an important question. Has the right of free speech and expression
no limits? Can any foreign power use it to plant false stories to destroy
good relations between India and a friendly nation?
Both China and India are the biggest nations in terms of population in
not only Asia, but also the world. Both are old civilizations, which fell
behind Europe in 18th century and missed Industrial Revolution, resulting
in occupation of their lands by European nations. In 20th century, both
woke up and succeeded in forcing foreign powers to withdraw from most
of their lands. Both are trying to modernize and remove poverty. Both
have advanced and become nuclear powers and major industrial and economic
powers. Yet both have long distance to go to come at par with advanced
nations. It is in their interest, as well as the interest of Asia and
the world, that both live peacefully, and resolve their differences peacefully.
If they cannot do this, the story of Asia will become similar to Europe,
where France and Germany fought each other to the benefit of others.
Who will benefit, if China and India became enemies? Obviously, the US.
It has been American policy since India became independent to encourage
bad relations between India and China. Its ambition of world hegemony
requires it to follow the policy of divide and dominate - China against
India in Asia, Western Europe against Eastern Europe in the case of Europe.
Hence the suspicion needle points to show that reports in India are U.S.
inspired.
An example will illustrate the U.S. tactics and geo-politics. After Pakistan
killed 3 million and drove away 10 million people of East Pakistan to
take shelter in India in eight months in 1971, it bombed India on December
3, 1971. Next day Indian army marched in eastern Pakistan. After only
four days of war, General Farman Ali, the army commander in Dacca, got
permission from Dictator Yahya Khan to ask India for cease fire, as Pak
army could not fight any more. But the US and China asked Pakistan to
continue the war as both were going to help Pakistan. On December 10,
US asked China to attack India, with the intention that China and Pakistan
on one side and Soviet Union and India on the other would kill each other
and US would enjoy as onlooker. But the Chinese were too clever to fall
in the trap. They told the US that US spoke in two voices- they said that
they would help Pakistan in one voice and in another voice they said they
were even handed. Hence China did not attack India and made only verbal
noises, but the US sent 7th Fleet to prevent Indian attack on West Pakistan.
West Pakistan was thus saved.
Some have suggested that foreign arms manufacturers created present alarm
for their benefit by using their past contacts with retired/serving military
brass. Compared to the big problems facing both China and India, boundary
question is minor one. They should not spoil their relations over a minor
question.
China has advanced in production of nuclear weapons and missiles more
than India. This gives a wrong impression to many in India that China
is far ahead of India in technology. India is ahead of China in some fields
of technology. Even in nuclear field, India is ahead of China in production
of nuclear power plants. India made its first indigenous nuclear power
plant in 1981. China made its own nuclear power plant in 1992. India made
its first nuclear explosion in 1974 against China's first test in 1964.
China got help in 1950s in technology from Soviet Union. After that China
got isolated in the world. It could not get foreign help and fell behind
India, which was in contact with all foreign countries. It was only in
1990s that Russia gave modern military planes and tanks to China. Even
now China like India has not been able to produce world class fighters.
But Indian Air Force has continuously purchased modern fighters from Russia
and West.
Air Chief Marshall P.V. Naik said on September 23,09 that China has 3
times fighter planes than India. This alarmed people unnecessarily. Out
of 3,000 fighters in PLAAF, 2200 are obsolete made by China on Soviet
Union's 1950 models. Among modern planes, it has 150 Soviet made Su27
and 100 Su30. Rest are Chinese made improved models of old fighters. Moreover,
China cannot station all of them in Tibet against us, as it has other
long borders to defend. We should not forget that China attacked Vietnam
in 1979 to teach it a lesson in true Middle Kingdom tradition. In the
event, Vietnam proved to be a bad pupil and gave China as good as it got.
Vietnam was a small, weak, backward country after terrible bombing by
US till 1975. If little Vietnam is not scared of China, it is ridiculous
that Indians should be afraid of China.
David Shambaugh, an American world famous expert on China's military strength
has written that China was concerned after India's nuclear test in 1998.
One Chinese newspaper, Jaifengjun Bao wrote on the composition of order
of battle of Indian forces. It showed how much more advanced Indian forces
were than PLA in virtually all categories of conventional forces. The
paper further wrote, "through 50 years of efforts, India now boasts
of a mighty army."
One reason why many in India are alarmed, is the memory of 1962. But things
have changed since then. 2009 is not the same as 1962. Both India and
China have changed since then, as well as the world power balance. We
have to be cautious, but not alarmed. An objective assessment of forces
on Tibetan border has to be made based on good intelligence, so that we
will not come out second best in any border skirmish. If more forces are
required on the border, we can easily afford the expenditure now without
damage to our economic growth, which is important for our defensive strength.
One possible reason of recent statements on China by India's military
brass can be to put pressure on government to increase our military strength,
as required in their judgment. This is wrong method. It is the duty and
responsibility of military to give advice and their judgment to government
i.e. defense department. Public statements are harmful in as much as they
create panic in public mind. What is needed to assure public, is - yes
we can - in Obama's words.
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